MyDD :: NJ-SEN: Does anyone believe that Menendez won't win?

NJ-SEN: Does anyone believe that Menendez won't win?

by Jim Treglio, Fri Oct 06, 2006 at 07:55:30 PM EST

Alright, I know what the polls say, and many of them put Menendez tied with Kean, but isn't that what always happens in New Jersey. Every election cycle there seems to be some statewide election in the Garden State where the Democrat and Republican are tied. And every election cycle the Democrat wins by 10 points.

Making my point, here's Jerome Armstrong's post on the recent polling in New Jersey:

"Mark Blumenthal writes:
Today's results run the gamut, showing Democrat Bob Menendez either leading Republican Tom Kean Jr. by 10 points (Reuters/Zogby), leading by seven points (Fairleigh Dickinson-PublicMind), or trailing by five points (Republican-affiliated Strategic Vision). Random sampling error alone cannot explain the gap.
I agree. Maybe what explains the gap is that the Republican pollsters delivered a poll for Kean? Nah, that couldn't be..."
(forgive me, my computer skills suck)

So what's the deal? Despite the polling, New Jersey is a solidly blue state. And we see this time and time again. When will the madness stop?

Tags: NJ-SEN, Menendez, Kean, New Jersey, 2006, Senate, Polls (all tags)

Permalink :: 6 Comments :: Post a Comment

well (none / 0)

Menendez seems to be polling worse than Corzine or Kerry. I don't think Bush or Forrester ever registered with a lead. So I'm not convinced that you can apply the previous results to this one.

Though of course I do want him to win, and think that he will.

John McCain is a Bush ally on Social Security.

by John DE on Fri Oct 06, 2006 at 08:01:29 PM EST

Re: well (none / 0)

I think that's a great point. I also think we'll win, but I don't think we should be blowing this off as another 2002 or 2004.

by blueryan on Fri Oct 06, 2006 at 09:39:30 PM EST
[ Parent ]

I'm worried. (none / 0)

I think we'll win, but the polls have me worried. But for the same reason I'm worried about Tennessee... I'm not sure when I see a Democrat tied in Tennessee. Likewise, I'm not sure when I see a Republican tied in New Jersey.

by Tom on Fri Oct 06, 2006 at 08:08:45 PM EST

NJ-SEN: Does anyone believe that Menendez won' (none / 0)

I was worried. But I'm increasingly convinced he will win. With all that has gone on, No matter what Kean says, voting for Menendez is vote for a Democratic agenda which they know would be in NJ's best interest.

by FLS on Fri Oct 06, 2006 at 08:54:27 PM EST

Re: NJ-SEN: My answe last week was different. (none / 0)

The past two weeks looked really bad for the Menendez campaign. It was pretty much a Non-stop Negative barrage of corruption issues leveled at him. The NJ media was on it 24/7.

But I am hopeful that his campaign has turned the the corner a few days ago. It looks like he is back on track. Thank God he had thousands of dollars to keep his message & be able to fight back.

Its still a very tough race. Kean has shown that he will do anything to win this thing.

One things for sure. If this was any other election ( without the Jerseyans anger towards Bush), Menendez would be toast.

No doubt, Menendez's heavy baggage combined with the very popular " Kean" name, would have been a very tough race even for a Democrat in NJ.

We are very fortunate that Bush is unpopular in NJ.

But despite all these polls, I think this race will go down to the wire. This is going to be a close one regardless of who wins.

by labanman on Sat Oct 07, 2006 at 03:24:58 AM EST

Why was my comment removed? (none / 0)

I posted a comment here yesterday about Menendez being one of twelve Democrats who voted for the torture detainee bill and that it upset me. I also wrote that I was tired of having such moral dilemmas about candidates when voting and asked why he couldn't just base that vote on principle since he voted against the Iraq war. I don't see any reason to remove that. Please explain, because if censorship of valid comments is par for the course here as in other venues that shall remain nameless, I don't think I want to post here any longer. It's bad enough this regime is taking our freedoms away piece by piece. The torture bill passed truly concerns me in regards to the limits it can now be taken to regarding OUR civil liberties. I certainly believe that those who voted for it on any side should then have to explain why they did so if they expect me to vote for them.

by thinkforyourself on Sat Oct 07, 2006 at 05:50:20 PM EST

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